Next Fed Meeting: When It Is In October And What To Expect
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The Federal Reserve’s policy committee meets next on Oct. 28 and 29, and policymakers are widely expected to cut the central bank’s key interest rate to lower borrowing costs and prevent the shaky job market from collapsing.
What To Expect From The October Meeting
Investors expect the Federal Open Market Committee to reduce the fed funds rate by a quarter of a percentage point to a range of 3.75% to 4%, according to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool, which forecasts rate changes based on fed funds futures trading data. That would mark the lowest level for the fed funds rate since December 2022. The Fed cut the key rate in September for the first time since December.
Fed officials have said they’re cutting interest rates to boost the economy and prevent a surge of unemployment. Job growth nearly came to a halt this summer as tariffs have pushed up prices and squeezed consumer budgets.
What Are The Fed’s Major Considerations?
The Fed is tasked by Congress with a “dual mandate” to keep inflation low and employment high using the fed funds rate, which is the interest rate banks charge to borrow money from one another. The fed funds rate affects borrowing costs on short-term loans like credit cards and car loans, and indirectly influences longer-term loans like 30-year mortgages.
When inflation is high, the Fed raises the rate to discourage borrowing and cool down the economy, allowing supply and demand to rebalance. When the job market weakens, the Fed cuts interest rates to encourage business and give a boost to hiring.
Currently, the economy is facing a rare situation where inflation and the job market are worsening at the same time, posing a dilemma for the Fed as to which problem to tackle first. Officials have been split on what approach to take. Some have advocated for further rate cuts in the coming months, while others view inflation as a greater threat and would like to keep rates higher for longer.
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Stock Futures Rise to Begin Week
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Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average were up 0.4%.
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S&P 500 futures were 0.5% higher.
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